Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (ASO) - Stock Analysis

Last updated: Sep 6, 2026

Research Idea

Research content for general circulation. Not individualized advice. Methodology & Disclosures

ASO surged about 23% from September 3 to September 10 after adjusted EPS beat estimates and management raised full-year earnings guidance. E-commerce growth of 12.8% and new-store expansion add operating support.

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Idea window: 9/10/2026 – 9/17/2026Sector: Consumer Cyclical

AI Analyst Overview

Last Price
$54.22
Market Cap
$3.36B
1D Return
+6.00%
YTD Return
+9.16%

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Valuation Metrics

P/E
8.9
P/B
1.6
P/S
0.5
EV/EBITDA
7.0
Div Yield
1.03%

Fundamental Analysis

6.0

Key Financial Insights: • Strong Cash Flow • Margin Compression • Higher Leverage ASO appears attractively valued with strong cash flow and returns, but investors should monitor margin pressure, rising leverage, and inventory growth.

Value
BalanceSheetRisk

Price Behavior

4.0

Key Price Behavior Insights: • Lower-high pattern • Brief rebound • Weak momentum Support Level: $42.60–$42.80 Resistance Level: $46.10–$46.20 ASO remains bearish over the last month despite a brief rebound, with $42.60–$42.80 support and $46.10–$46.20 resistance key for near-term direction.

Bearish
Rebound

Sentiment & News

Key News Insights: • Store Expansion • Instacart Delivery • Ariat Partnership Academy Sports + Outdoors is pursuing expansion, faster delivery, and new brand partnerships ahead of Q2 results, though recent stock weakness warrants attention.

RetailGrowth
EarningsWatch
AI

AI Summary

6.0
Neutral

Academy's low valuation offers upside only if Q2 confirms that store, digital, and category expansion can sustain margins and free cash flow, as rising inventory, leverage, and weakening quarterly profitability make further margin erosion the decisive risk.

GrowthOpportunity
MarginRisk
EarningsCatalyst
AI summary updated 4 days ago

Description

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. is a U.S.-based retailer of sporting goods, outdoor recreation products and related apparel and footwear, selling a broad assortment that includes hunting and fishing gear, team and fitness equipment, marine and watersports items, home and patio products, and footwear. The company operates a network of physical stores and an e-commerce site under several private-label and house brands, with 260 retail locations across 16 contiguous states as of June 14, 2022; it was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Katy, Texas.

Idea History

DateCloseTickerCompanySummaryStatusP/L
Sep 10Sep 17ASOAcademy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.
ASO surged about 23% from September 3 to September 10 after adjusted EPS beat estimates and management raised full-year earnings guidance. E-commerce growth of 12.8% and new-store expansion add operating support.
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