Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) - Stock Analysis

Last updated: Aug 22, 2026

Research Idea

Research content for general circulation. Not individualized advice. Methodology & Disclosures

Strong copper and gold results, positive free cash flow, declining leverage, and Furnas project progress accompany a 46.4% 21-day rally, providing catalyst-backed materials exposure.

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Idea window: 8/24/2026 – 8/31/2026Sector: Basic Materials

AI Analyst Overview

Last Price
$38.59
Market Cap
$4.11B
1D Return
-2.11%
YTD Return
+36.41%

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Valuation Metrics

P/E
13.2
P/B
3.4
P/S
3.9
EV/EBITDA
8.1
Div Yield
—

Fundamental Analysis

8.0

Key Financial Insights: • Strong profitability • Lower leverage • Positive cash flow ERO shows strong profitability, improving leverage and liquidity, positive free cash flow, and cheaper valuation, but faces margin compression and high capital-spending risks.

FinancialStrength
CapexRisk

Price Behavior

5.0

Key Price Behavior Insights: • Strong Uptrend • Overbought Momentum • Pullback Risk Support Level: $36.02–$34.91; stronger at $33.80 and $31.10–$30.43 Resistance Level: $40.00 ERO's price surged 52% to $39.42 over the last month, staying bullish above $36 but appearing overbought near $40, with pullback risk if it falls below $33.80.

Bullish
Overbought

Sentiment & News

Key News Insights: • Strong Q2 Performance • Furnas Expansion Progress • Elevated Options Activity Ero Copper delivered strong Q2 results, advanced Furnas expansion plans, and attracted unusual options activity, though mixed institutional positioning and sector risks warrant caution.

GrowthMomentum
SectorRisks
AI

AI Summary

7.0
Positive

ERO has evolved into an execution-dependent growth story, with TucumĂŁ's H2 ramp needing to offset Xavantina's deterioration and elevated capex, while the stock's sharp rally leaves limited room for disappointment.

Tucuma
ExecutionRisk
Copper
AI summary updated 2 days ago

Description

Ero Copper Corp. is a Canada-based base metals miner that explores, develops and produces mineral assets in Brazil. The company operates the MCSA Mining Complex in the Curaçå Valley, producing copper concentrate with gold and silver as byproducts, and holds full ownership of the Boa Esperança copper development and the NX Gold property. Incorporated in 2016, Ero Copper is headquartered in Vancouver, British Columbia.

Idea History

DateCloseTickerCompanySummaryStatusP/L
Aug 24Aug 31EROEro Copper Corp.
Strong copper and gold results, positive free cash flow, declining leverage, and Furnas project progress accompany a 46.4% 21-day rally, providing catalyst-backed materials exposure.
Active+0.0%
Research content for educational purposes only. Not investment advice. All decisions are your responsibility.