Herc Holdings Inc. (HRI) - Stock Analysis

Last updated: Sep 20, 2026

Research Idea

Research content for general circulation. Not individualized advice. Methodology & Disclosures

Constructive short-term momentum into 2026-07-28 earnings: shares up 12.8% over 21 trading days, broke above 153-155 resistance, jumped on 2026-07-23, and headlines suggest possible estimate beat supported by H&E integration and data-center exposure.

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Idea window: 7/23/2026 – 7/30/2026Sector: Industrials

AI Analyst Overview

Last Price
$131.73
Market Cap
$4.40B
1D Return
+5.06%
YTD Return
-9.90%

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Valuation Metrics

P/E
89.6
P/B
2.3
P/S
0.9
EV/EBITDA
6.7
Div Yield
2.13%

Fundamental Analysis

4.0

Key Financial Insights: • Strong Cash Flow • Heavy Debt Load • Thin Profit Margins HRI generates strong cash flow and improving margins, but extreme leverage and interest burden leave profitability, liquidity, and dividend coverage vulnerable.

CashFlow
LeverageRisk

Price Behavior

4.0

Key Price Behavior Insights: • Persistent downtrend • Oversold momentum • Key support test Support Level: $135; then $132 Resistance Level: $139–$142 HRI remains bearish after falling from the low $160s to $135.26 over the last month; hold $135 for a potential oversold rebound toward $139–$142, but a break below support could target $132.

Bearish
Oversold

Sentiment & News

6.0

Key News Insights: • Institutional Buying • Earnings Caution • Industry Tailwinds Herc Holdings shows improving momentum and institutional support, but cautious earnings estimates suggest investors should watch rally sustainability.

HRI
InfrastructureGrowth
AI

AI Summary

5.0
Neutral

HRI is an acquisition-driven infrastructure platform, but its equity case hinges on converting H&E-driven EBITDA growth, utilization gains, and synergies into sustained free cash flow and material deleveraging, since interest expense nearly consumes operating income; remain cautious until debt falls and coverage improves, as even modest cyclical weakness could impair equity value.

InfrastructureGrowth
LeverageRisk
IntegrationExecution
AI summary updated 32 days ago

Description

Herc Holdings Inc. is a Bonita Springs, Florida–based equipment rental company founded in 1965 that provides a broad range of construction and industrial machinery, specialty systems for power, climate and remediation, and professional-grade contractor tools. Beyond rentals, the business supplies maintenance, repair, equipment management and on-site support services, sells used equipment and consumables, and offers logistics and ancillary services such as transport and refueling. Its customer base spans construction, industrial manufacturing, infrastructure, government and commercial sectors, with sales conducted through direct sales, catalogs, industry events and online channels.

Idea History

DateCloseTickerCompanySummaryStatusP/L
Jul 23Jul 30HRIHerc Holdings Inc.
Constructive short-term momentum into 2026-07-28 earnings: shares up 12.8% over 21 trading days, broke above 153-155 resistance, jumped on 2026-07-23, and headlines suggest possible estimate beat supported by H&E integration and data-center exposure.
Closed-10.6%
Research content for educational purposes only. Not investment advice. All decisions are your responsibility.