Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) - Stock Analysis

Last updated: Jan 13, 2026

IndustrialsClosed

Research Idea

Research content for general circulation. Not individualized advice. Methodology & Disclosures

Intuitive Machines’ $800 million acquisition boosts backlog to $920 million, driving strong technical momentum (~85% price rise in 6 weeks), expanding defense/commercial space capabilities. Despite financial leverage and losses, operational progress and institutional interest support short-term growth potential.

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Idea window: 12/25/2025 – 1/1/2026Sector: Industrials

AI Analyst Overview

Last Price
$21.58
Market Cap
$3862.22
1D Return
+10.67%
YTD Return
+32.96%

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Valuation Metrics

P/E
-12.2
P/B
-6.4
P/S
29.2
EV/EBITDA
-114.5
Div Yield
—

Fundamental Analysis

7.0

Key Financial Insights: • Strong liquidity • Persistent losses • Negative equity LUNR has very strong short-term liquidity ( ~$624M cash, current ratio 6.28) but remains unprofitable with negative equity and sizable long-term debt, relying on financing to sustain operations.

StrongCash
NegativeEquity

Price Behavior

7.0

Key Price Behavior Insights: • Strong uptrend • Rapid recovery • Higher highs/lows Support Level: $17.88 Resistance Level: $19.63 Over the last month LUNR surged from roughly $15.25 to $19.20 with clear higher highs/lows signaling bullish momentum but a rapid rise raises pullback risk after a mid-December low.

Bullish
WatchRisk

Sentiment & News

7.0

Key News Insights: • Lanteris acquisition • $920M backlog • Insider selling Intuitive Machines' $800M Lanteris buyout and growing $920M backlog drive a bullish growth narrative and analyst upgrades despite near-term dilution, insider selling and volatile trading.

Growth
Risk
AI

AI Summary

7.0
Positive

With the Lanteris acquisition recasting LUNR as a scaled spacecraft prime and boosting pro‑forma backlog to ~$920M, the investment now hinges on rapid integration, production throughput and milestone cash conversion to reach positive EBITDA—failure to hit integration milestones or government budget/timing assumptions would likely force dilutive financings and materially impair equity value, so monitor integration KPIs, cash runway, and contract milestone recognition closely.

Backlog
Integration
Cashflow
AI summary updated 5 days ago

Description

Intuitive Machines develops and manufactures space hardware and related services to support robotic and human exploration of the Moon, Mars and other destinations. The company organizes its offerings across units that provide lunar access, orbital and data services, and space products and infrastructure. It was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Idea History

DateCloseTickerCompanySummaryStatusP/L
Dec 25Jan 1LUNRIntuitive Machines, Inc.
Intuitive Machines’ $800 million acquisition boosts backlog to $920 million, driving strong technical momentum (~85% price rise in 6 weeks), expanding defense/commercial space capabilities. Despite financial leverage and losses, operational progress and institutional interest support short-term growth potential.
Closed-2.9%
Research content for educational purposes only. Not investment advice. All decisions are your responsibility.