Research Idea
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Strongest combined breakout and fundamental setup: shares gained 17.8% over 21 sessions and 9.5% on August 27 to a period high. Q2 revenue rose 106% to $96.2 billion, with 75% gross margin, broad AI infrastructure demand, and exceptional free cash flow.
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Idea window: 8/27/2026 â 9/3/2026Sector: Technology
AI Analyst Overview
Last Price
$218.29
Market Cap
$5.29T
1D Return
-0.03%
YTD Return
+17.18%
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Valuation Metrics
P/E
27.5
P/B
23.1
P/S
17.4
EV/EBITDA
22.8
Div Yield
0.24%
Fundamental Analysis
8.0
Key Financial Insights: ⢠Exceptional Margins ⢠Strong Cash Flow ⢠Rising Leverage NVDA combines exceptional margins, liquidity, and cash generation with elevated valuation and rising debt/working-capital risks that warrant disciplined monitoring.
Profitability
ValuationRisk
Price Behavior
6.0
Key Price Behavior Insights: ⢠Modest uptrend ⢠Volatile rebound ⢠Key support Support Level: $224â225; stronger support at $217â220 Resistance Level: $230â231 NVDA is cautiously bullish over the last month above $224â225, but a break below $217â220 would signal rebound failure amid elevated volatility.
NVDA
TechnicalAnalysis
Sentiment & News
7.0
Key News Insights: ⢠Rubin Ramp ⢠Broad Demand ⢠Margin Pressure Nvidia's explosive AI-driven growth and Rubin rollout strengthen its outlook, but financing, margin, and customer-concentration risks warrant caution.
AIGrowth
MarginRisk
AI
AI Summary
7.0
PositiveView NVIDIA as an AI-factory infrastructure provider, where Rubin and rack-scale systems can expand revenue and lock-in, but own or add only if free-cash-flow conversion, margins, receivables, and customer-funded demand remain resilient as financing and supply-chain exposure rise.
AIFactories
FinancingRisk
RubinRamp
AI summary updated 5 days ago
Description
NVIDIA designs and sells graphics, compute and networking hardware along with supporting software for gaming, professional visualization, data-center and automotive use cases. Its product portfolio spans consumer and workstation GPUs, data-center accelerators and interconnects, virtualized graphics and AI software, and embedded platforms for vehicles and robotics. The company distributes through OEMs, system builders, cloud providers, retailers and automotive suppliers; it was incorporated in 1993, is headquartered in Santa Clara, California, and maintains strategic collaborations such as with Kroger.
Idea History
| Date | Close | Ticker | Company | Summary | Status | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27 | Sep 3 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Strongest combined breakout and fundamental setup: shares gained 17.8% over 21 sessions and 9.5% on August 27 to a period high. Q2 revenue rose 106% to $96.2 billion, with 75% gross margin, broad AI infrastructure demand, and exceptional free cash flow. | Closed | +0.2% |
| Aug 6 | Aug 13 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Bullish short-term momentum with shares at a new 21-day high after rebounding from 2026-07-29; fundamentals remain exceptional and management cited AI demand exceeding expectations, sold-out cloud capacity, and Blackwell/Rubin visibility into 2026. | Closed | +2.9% |
| Jul 22 | Jul 29 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Strong AI infrastructure demand, exceptional margins, and a fresh 2026-07-22 capital-return catalyst with an $80B buyback addition and 25x dividend hike; stock remains in positive short-term momentum. | Closed | -10.4% |
| Jun 2 | Jun 9 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Record Q1 revenue of $81.6B, up 85% YoY and 20% sequentially, with Blackwell/GB300 demand described as sold out in several areas. New Corning and IREN partnerships extend the AI infrastructure catalyst, and the stock remains in a constructive 21-day uptrend. | Closed | -6.5% |
| May 21 | May 28 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Still a tactical short-term hot idea with record Q1 revenue of $81.6B, up 85% YoY, excellent margins and cash generation, plus IREN and Corning partnerships supporting AI infrastructure demand. Sector leadership and positive sentiment remain intact despite valuation risk. | Closed | -2.4% |
| May 12 | May 19 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Selected for continued AI-driven leadership: latest earnings showed record revenue, strong gross margins, Blackwell ramp momentum, and guidance for further sequential growth. Technical trend remains positive, with shares up about 11% over 21 trading days. | Closed | -0.1% |
| Apr 29 | May 6 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Short-term momentum is supported by AI leadership, Q3 guidance around $54B, accelerating Blackwell production, excellent margins and cash flow, and a 20% gain over the last 21 trading days; qualifies as a momentum-led hot idea despite valuation risk. | Closed | -0.7% |
| Apr 22 | Apr 29 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | NVDA remains one of the strongest large-cap momentum names: shares gained about 15% over 21 trading days, recent reported revenue was a record $68.1B with exceptional margins and cash generation, and ongoing Blackwell and enterprise AI deployment headlines continue to support near-term sentiment even with valuation already rich. | Closed | +3.3% |
| Apr 15 | Apr 22 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Record FY26 results, Blackwell/HGX ramp, and hyperscaler AI capex create powerful near-term demand tailwinds; price is trending strongly above its 21âday SMA with ~20%+ gains over the last few weeks, making it a tactical momentum buy into continued AI infrastructure news, albeit with elevated pullback risk from rich valuation. | Closed | +1.8% |
| Feb 9 | Feb 16 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Leading AI semiconductor growth stock with record revenues, robust AI infrastructure demand, strategic investments, and strong liquidity. Despite recent technical consolidation and export control headwinds, NVIDIA maintains a dominant position with strong earnings and market momentum supporting near-term appreciation. | Closed | -3.8% |
| Jan 27 | Feb 3 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | NVIDIA shows exceptional growth with 62% Q3 revenue increase, $3B AI ecosystem investments in early 2026, robust profitability (56% net margins), solid liquidity, and moderately positive price momentum (~7% over 21 days), making it a must-own hot idea for AI semiconductor infrastructure in 2026. | Closed | -4.3% |
| Jan 7 | Jan 14 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Robust Q3/Q1 2026 revenues driven by AI infrastructure, strong profitability and cash flow, strategic AI ecosystem investments, and solid technical consolidation suggesting accumulation opportunity for near-term gains. | Closed | -3.2% |
| Dec 29 | Jan 5 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | NVIDIA shows a strong near-term growth opportunity supported by record Q3 FY2026 revenue of $57B (+62% YoY), dominant AI infrastructure leadership with Blackwell architecture, excellent profitability (net margin 56%), and positive technical momentum with price recovery above key averages as of late December 2025. | Closed | -0.1% |
| Dec 19 | Dec 26 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | NVIDIA's record Q3/4 fiscal 2025 revenues driven by AI infrastructure growth, high gross/net margins, strategic partnerships, and raised price targets underpin strong fundamental upside. Despite recent short-term technical weakness, it remains a high-conviction hot idea for near- to medium-term capital appreciation. | Closed | +5.3% |
| Dec 9 | Dec 16 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | NVIDIA displays a robust short-term growth outlook driven by record revenue growth (Q3: +62%, Q4 guidance: +78%), dominant AI infrastructure leadership, and expanding strategic partnerships. Despite a recent 15% pullback and technical caution, fundamentals and AI sector tailwinds position NVDA for near-term upside over next 5 trading days. | Closed | -3.9% |
| Nov 25 | Dec 2 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | NVIDIA demonstrates strong fundamentals with record Q3 revenue (+62% YoY), strong AI/data-center segment growth, new strategic investments, and solid profitability. Despite short-term bearish technical signals and sector volatility, it remains a buy-the-dip candidate supported by near-term earnings strength and visible catalysts. | Closed | +2.1% |
| Nov 17 | Nov 24 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Strong Q2 2025 revenues led by AI demand, solid profitability, positive guidance, and moderate technical momentum below resistance zone near $200-$205 position NVIDIA as a fundamental AI infrastructure leader with short-term price appreciation potential. | Closed | -2.2% |
| Oct 27 | Nov 3 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Robust AI-driven growth with Q2 2025 revenue +56% YoY, strong data-center demand, and record gross margins (~72%); $5B Intel investment and $100B OpenAI partnership underscore ecosystem expansion; solid technical strength and mild bullish momentum above 21-day SMA; near-term consolidation with overall strong growth drivers. | Closed | +8.0% |
| Oct 13 | Oct 20 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | NVIDIA maintains strong short-term momentum driven by robust Q2 earnings (56% YoY revenue growth), rapidly ramping Blackwell data-center sales, $100B OpenAI partnership, and high free cash flow, supported by positive technicals near 52-week highs and broad industry AI tailwinds, making it a compelling near-term growth story. | Closed | -3.0% |
| Sep 29 | Oct 6 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | NVIDIA reported a 56% YoY revenue surge fueled by AI platform adoption and strategic partnerships. Despite high valuation and slight technical resistance, elevated net margins and free cash flow quality, along with strong AI-driven sector demand, justify a favorable short-term growth outlook and tactical buy-on-dip approach. | Closed | +2.0% |
| Sep 2 | Sep 9 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | NVIDIA holds strong fundamentals with record data center growth and solid cash flow, despite slightly bearish near-term technicals; a pullback provides a selective entry point given its leadership in AI semiconductors and robust earnings momentum. | Closed | -0.0% |
| Aug 25 | Sep 1 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | Positive analyst lift and product demand with price modestly above the 21âday lookback on 2025-08-22 supporting short-term continuation. | Closed | -3.1% |
| Jul 28 | Aug 4 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | NVIDIAâs strong AI-driven growth and recent breakout suggest further upside, backed by robust Blackwell adoption and expanding data center demand; watch for potential consolidation around overbought levels but near-term catalysts remain supportive. | Closed | +1.8% |
| Jul 7 | Jul 14 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | NVIDIAâs breakout above key resistance and sustained upward momentum in AIâdriven data center demand suggest further nearâterm gains. Technical strength, robust earnings, and strong analyst sentiment support continuation of the rally next week, barring any geopolitical surprises. | Closed | +3.7% |
| Jun 18 | Jun 25 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | NVIDIAâs robust AI-driven data center momentum, strong technical support around $135, and upcoming product catalysts (Blackwell GPU rollout) position it for potential near-term upside despite geopolitical headwinds. | Closed | +6.1% |