Ondas Holdings Inc. (ONDS) - Stock Analysis
Last updated: Jan 14, 2026
Research Idea
Research content for general circulation. Not individualized advice. Methodology & Disclosures
Ondas Holdings (ONDS) displays a compelling short-term growth story driven by a sixfold YoY Q3 revenue surge, strong backlog growth, multiple acquisitions with expanding defense contracts, strong liquidity, and technical breakout above upper Bollinger Band indicating strong bullish momentum.
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AI Analyst Overview
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Valuation Metrics
Fundamental Analysis
Key Financial Insights: ⢠Strong liquidity ⢠Persistent losses ⢠Heavy dilution ONDS has a very strong balance sheet with $434M cash and minimal debt but is not profitableâhigh opex, negative EBITDA/FCF, reliance on financing, and severe share dilution compressing per-share economics.
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights: ⢠Higher highs/lows ⢠Resistance breaks ⢠Rapid spike risk Support Level: $12.50 Resistance Level: $9.50â$12.50 Over the last month ONDS surged from about $8.99 to $13.19, breaking resistances near $9.50 and $12.50 with higher highs/lows supporting momentum but the sharp Jan 7 spike and rapid gains signal short-term volatility and possible overbought riskâwatch $12.50 as key support.
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights: ⢠Major contracts ⢠Rapid revenue ⢠$1B raise Ondas surged on a rapid pivot to autonomous aerial/ground systems, landing major contracts, a $1B equity raise and accelerating revenue guidance that fueled a near-600% stock rally amid rising defense demand.
AI Summary
ONDS has materially pivoted into a heavily capitalized, acquisition-led platform playâmaking the investment a forward-looking bet that management can convert a ~$840M cash war chest and expanded backlog into >$110M revenue and sustainable operating leverage by 2026âwhile the key risk is execution/integration failure and further equity dilution if margins and revenue ramps miss targets.
Description
Ondas Holdings, through its Ondas Networks and American Robotics units, provides private wireless connectivity, unmanned aircraft systems and automated data solutions. The company develops and supports the FullMAX software-defined radio platform for industrial wide-area broadband networks and supplies drone systems with associated base stations and analytics software for field data capture and processing. Its customers include rail, energy, mining, agriculture and other critical infrastructure operators in the U.S. and abroad, and the firm is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.
Idea History
| Date | Close | Ticker | Company | Summary | Status | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25 | Dec 2 | ONDS | Ondas Holdings Inc. | Ondas Holdings (ONDS) displays a compelling short-term growth story driven by a sixfold YoY Q3 revenue surge, strong backlog growth, multiple acquisitions with expanding defense contracts, strong liquidity, and technical breakout above upper Bollinger Band indicating strong bullish momentum. | Closed | -4.4% |