Research Idea
Research content for general circulation. Not individualized advice. Methodology & Disclosures
Strong tactical momentum in refining/energy: shares rose about 25.9% over 21 trading days, recent headlines cite positive analyst sentiment and Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buy status, and Q1 showed a turnaround to $54.5M net income with record Hawaii throughput.
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AI Analyst Overview
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Valuation Metrics
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights: ⢠Strong breakout ⢠Near-term resistance ⢠Support defense Support Level: $76â77, then $73â74 Resistance Level: $80.40 PARR has surged from the mid-$50s to $77.39 over the last month, but after peaking at $80.40 it now needs to defend $76â77 and then $73â74 to keep the breakout intact.
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights: ⢠Valuation Appeal ⢠Momentum Strength ⢠Refining Tailwinds Par Pacific (PARR) drew repeated July attention as an undervalued refining name with strong momentum and analyst upside, though short-term volatility persisted amid limited company-specific catalysts.
AI Summary
PARR's fundamentals have improved sharply with record throughput, stronger margins, and buybacks, but after the stock's rapid rerating the main takeaway is that it now looks more like a high-quality cyclical that needs margin durability to justify the price, so investors should wait for confirmation or a pullback rather than chase it.
Description
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. is an energy and infrastructure company that operates through three reporting segments: Refining, Retail and Logistics. Its refining operations run three refineries that produce a range of transportation fuels, asphalt and related products for regional markets including Hawaii, the Pacific Northwest, Wyoming and South Dakota. The retail business runs 119 fuel and convenience locations under several brand names in Hawaii, Washington and Idaho, while the logistics segment manages terminals, pipelines, marine and trucking assets, storage facilities and other distribution infrastructure serving island markets and inland sites; the company is headquartered in Houston and was incorporated in 1984 (name changed in 2015).
Idea History
| Date | Close | Ticker | Company | Summary | Status | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13 | Jul 20 | PARR | Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. | Strong tactical momentum in refining/energy: shares rose about 25.9% over 21 trading days, recent headlines cite positive analyst sentiment and Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buy status, and Q1 showed a turnaround to $54.5M net income with record Hawaii throughput. | Closed | +9.4% |
| Mar 23 | Mar 30 | PARR | Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. | Par Pacific is a refiner with explosive near-term upside potential: FY2025 net income $369M and adj. EBITDA $633M, a 10% share-count reduction via repurchases at ~$19, and powerful crack-spread tailwinds from the crude spike have driven a ~45% 21âday rally, while valuation remains low (EV/EBIT ~6x), creating room for further upside if margins hold. | Closed | +11.7% |
| Mar 13 | Mar 20 | PARR | Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. | Refiner with strong cash and buyback catalysts: 2025 net income $369M, adjusted EBITDA $633M and ~$296M FCF support a new $250M buyback after retiring ~10% of shares in 2025. SAF partnership with Hawaiian/Alaska Airlines and distillateâheavy exposure benefit from current refining spreads. The stock is up ~30% over 21 days and ~18% above its 21âday SMA, making it a highâconviction nearâterm momentum play tied to oil and buyback execution. | Closed | +14.1% |