Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) - Stock Analysis
Last updated: Jan 14, 2026
Research Idea
Research content for general circulation. Not individualized advice. Methodology & Disclosures
Palantir Technologies offers robust near-term growth with 63% revenue growth and raised guidance in Q3 2025, expanding AI-driven contracts, and positive technical momentum despite mixed signals due to elevated valuation.
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AI Analyst Overview
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Valuation Metrics
Fundamental Analysis
Key Financial Insights: ⢠High gross/EBITDA margins ⢠Ample liquidity ⢠Extreme valuation multiples PLTR shows robust profitability, strong cash generation and low leverage but is likely significantly overvalued given extreme market multiples.
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights: ⢠Lower highs forming ⢠Established support ⢠No deep oversold Support Level: $165â$170 Resistance Level: $190â$195 PLTR pulled back last month from highs near $194 to about $179, showing waning momentum with clear resistance at $190â$195 and support around $165â$170 that so far prevents a deeper sell-off.
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights: ⢠121% U.S. growth ⢠Strong buy sentiment ⢠High valuation risk Palantir is delivering rapid AI-driven commercial and government revenue growth (U.S. commercial ~121% YoY) and strong analyst optimism, but its rich valuation and historical volatility pose significant near-term risk.
AI Summary
Palantir has transitioned from a speculative AI/defense story into a highâmargin, SaaSâlike cash generator driven by accelerating commercial AI adoption and record contracts, but extreme valuation multiples mean investors must demand consistent executionâparticularly on revenue recognition, margin sustainability, and collectionsâor face outsized downside.
Description
Palantir Technologies develops software platforms used by government intelligence agencies and commercial organizations to integrate, analyze and act on diverse datasets. Its products support activities from pattern detection and analyst-to-operator handoffs for counterterrorism and other operations to enterprise data management and cross-environment software deployment, and include tools that expose large language models to structured and unstructured data. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Idea History
| Date | Close | Ticker | Company | Summary | Status | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12 | Jan 19 | PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. | Palantir Technologies offers robust near-term growth with 63% revenue growth and raised guidance in Q3 2025, expanding AI-driven contracts, and positive technical momentum despite mixed signals due to elevated valuation. | Closed | -4.7% |
| Dec 31 | Jan 7 | PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. | Exceptional Q3 2025 results with 63% revenue growth, 51% operating margin, $6.4B cash reserves, and transformative AI partnerships; while valuation is elevated and technical signals show modest short-term weakness, strong fundamentals and strategic positioning suggest medium-term hot idea status. | Closed | +2.2% |
| Dec 18 | Dec 25 | PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. | Strong operational momentum with 63% YoY revenue growth and raised full-year guidance, record profitability, and major AI infrastructure contracts. Solid liquidity and low leverage underpin confidence. Despite elevated valuation and recent technical weakness, fundamental AI growth drivers and contract wins support potential short-term gains, especially on dips. | Closed | +4.6% |
| Dec 10 | Dec 17 | PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. | Palantirâs robust Q3 growth, expanding AI partnerships, and raised guidance support positive near-term prospects, though elevated valuation and legal risks suggest cautious exposure. Moderate technical recovery signals potential upside balanced with volatility risk in the short term. | Closed | -5.7% |
| Nov 3 | Nov 10 | PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. | Selected for strong operational momentum with raised full-year revenue guidance, large contract wins, high free cash flow, and positive AI partnership developments; technical uptrend supports near-term upside, with Nov 3 earnings as key catalyst. | Closed | -6.6% |