QXO Inc (QXO) - Stock Analysis
Last updated: Jan 14, 2026
Research Idea
Research content for general circulation. Not individualized advice. Methodology & Disclosures
Catalyst-driven pick: wellâcapitalized with an upcoming GMS transaction and M&A-driven newsflow that can re-rate the stock quickly if the deal closes and accretion is visible. Major risks include further equity dilution, continued operating losses and execution on M&Aâappropriate for eventâfocused traders sizing for execution risk.
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AI Analyst Overview
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Valuation Metrics
Fundamental Analysis
Key Financial Insights: ⢠Asset expansion ⢠Rising leverage ⢠Positive FCF QXO has rapidly scaledâassets to $16.6B and market cap doubled on revenue growth and ~$9B intangibles, with solid cash generation (positive EBITDA and $182M FCF) but materially higher leverage (~$3.95B debt) and recurring GAAP losses that elevate risk.
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights: ⢠Strong momentum ⢠Support intact ⢠Overbought risk Support Level: $21.00 Resistance Level: $23.30 Over the last month QXO rallied from roughly $19.29 to $25.16, broke resistance near $23.30 while holding ~$21.00 support, but the sharp rise hints at short-term overbought risk.
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights: ⢠Consolidation push ⢠Major capital raise ⢠Tech-driven growth QXO is aggressively scaling through tech-driven consolidation and a $3B+ capital raise to accelerate acquisitions and double EBITDA amid rising investor interest and stock volatility. #M&Aâ
AI Summary
QXO is no longer an organic SaaS/operator story but a financing-led roll-up where equity returns now depend primarily on repeatable M&A integration, successful Term Loan B refinancing, and avoidance of impairments from a ~$9B intangible baseâif management proves they can execute accretive deals and refinance favorably upside is meaningful, but missed synergies, refinancing hiccups, or convertible-preferred dilution could rapidly erode equity.
Description
QXO, Inc. is a North American provider of business applications, technology solutions, and consulting services, headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut. The firm supplies core business software (covering finance, operations, workforce, supply-chain and analytics) alongside professional services such as consulting, custom development, training and technical support. It also delivers IT managed servicesâincluding cybersecurity, cloud and application hosting, disaster recovery, backup, and network maintenanceâto small and mid-sized manufacturers, distributors and service companies.
Idea History
| Date | Close | Ticker | Company | Summary | Status | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11 | Aug 18 | QXO | QXO Inc | Catalyst-driven pick: wellâcapitalized with an upcoming GMS transaction and M&A-driven newsflow that can re-rate the stock quickly if the deal closes and accretion is visible. Major risks include further equity dilution, continued operating losses and execution on M&Aâappropriate for eventâfocused traders sizing for execution risk. | Closed | +7.1% |