Ferrari N.V. (RACE) - Stock Analysis
Last updated: Apr 25, 2026
Research Idea
Research content for general circulation. Not individualized advice. Methodology & Disclosures
Ferrari posted strong 2025 results (FCF +50%), reiterated high‑margin 2026 guidance, and is executing large multi‑year buybacks (~€3.5B through 2030); with ~11% 21‑day price momentum and supportive luxury demand, RACE offers a technically extended but well‑funded short‑term upside trade.
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AI Analyst Overview
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Valuation Metrics
Fundamental Analysis
Key Financial Insights: • High margins • Strong cash flow • Leverage risk Ferrari combines exceptional profitability and strong cash generation with premium brand economics, but its rich valuation and meaningful leverage make the stock best suited for investors comfortable paying up for quality.
Price Behavior
Key Price Behavior Insights: • Breakout follow-through • Support hold test • Near-term consolidation Support Level: $347-$352 Resistance Level: $368.59, with secondary resistance near $375.60 RACE has been in a constructive uptrend over the last month, but after a sharp breakout to the upper $360s it is now consolidating near key support at $347–$352, with a break below that band signaling a weaker setup.
Sentiment & News
Key News Insights: • Analyst upgrade • Share buybacks • Geopolitical risk Ferrari's recent news flow is broadly supportive, with a Jefferies upgrade, ongoing buybacks, and steady institutional buying offset by geopolitical and EV/execution concerns.
AI Summary
Ferrari's investment case has shifted from a simple premium-growth story to a high-quality compounder with exceptional cash generation and durable demand into 2027, but at a mid-30s earnings multiple the stock already prices in near-perfect execution through its product-cycle transition, EV recalibration, and margin defense.
Description
Ferrari N.V., through its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures and sells high-performance and luxury road and racing cars, including limited-edition and track-focused models. The company also provides aftermarket services and parts, offers financing and leasing to customers and dealers, and licenses its brand across lifestyle products and theme parks; it operates museums in Maranello and Modena and manages racetracks. Ferrari distributes vehicles and branded goods via a global dealer and retail network and online, and is headquartered in Maranello, Italy, with origins dating to 1947.
Idea History
| Date | Close | Ticker | Company | Summary | Status | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13 | Feb 20 | RACE | Ferrari N.V. | Ferrari posted strong 2025 results (FCF +50%), reiterated high‑margin 2026 guidance, and is executing large multi‑year buybacks (~€3.5B through 2030); with ~11% 21‑day price momentum and supportive luxury demand, RACE offers a technically extended but well‑funded short‑term upside trade. | Closed | -3.2% |
| Sep 8 | Sep 15 | RACE | Ferrari N.V. | Ferrari delivered steady Q2 results with order backlog through 2027 and ongoing share buyback execution; shares gained ~8.9% over 3 weeks, trading above the 21-day average with room below upper Bollinger Band, supported by strong demand and product launches despite high valuation and sector headwinds. | Closed | -0.0% |