The Timken Company (TKR) - Stock Analysis

Last updated: Jun 6, 2026

IndustrialsClosed

Research Idea

Research content for general circulation. Not individualized advice. Methodology & Disclosures

Recent beat and initial 2026 outlook, solid cash flow and moderate leverage, plus strong technicals (+16.8% over 21 days, break above prior highs) position TKR as an industrial cyclical with both earnings and conference catalysts (Citi event 2/18) that can sustain short‑term momentum.

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Idea window: 2/13/2026 – 2/20/2026Sector: Industrials

AI Analyst Overview

Last Price
$137.06
Market Cap
$8.16B
1D Return
-0.25%
YTD Return
+63.97%

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Valuation Metrics

P/E
26.5
P/B
2.5
P/S
1.8
EV/EBITDA
13.3
Div Yield
1.19%

Fundamental Analysis

6.5

Key Financial Insights: • Strong Cash Flow • Moderate Leverage • Weak Asset Efficiency TKR is a profitable, cash-generating industrial with solid liquidity and manageable leverage, but weak asset efficiency, heavy intangibles, and a valuation that leaves limited upside.

cashflow
overvalued

Price Behavior

7.0

Key Price Behavior Insights: • Higher lows • Nearby resistance • Hold support Support Level: $126.50-$127.00 Resistance Level: $133.66 TKR remains in a short-term uptrend after a strong gain over the last month, with higher lows and nearby resistance at $133.66, but it needs to hold $126.50-$127.00 to avoid a pullback.

Bullish
Uptrend

Sentiment & News

7.0

Key News Insights: • 2028 Targets • Dividend Boost • Valuation Scrutiny Timken's strong Investor Day outlook, dividend hike, and fresh 52-week highs signal solid momentum and shareholder-friendly execution, though the rally is starting to face valuation scrutiny.

momentum
valuation
AI

AI Summary

6.8
Positive

TKR is increasingly a self-help and portfolio-reconfiguration story rather than a pure cyclical industrial, but with the stock already rerated, the upside now depends on management converting earnings into cash and delivering margin expansion and acquisition integration on schedule.

SelfHelp
ValuationRisk
Execution
AI summary updated 6 days ago

Description

The Timken Company designs, manufactures, and distributes engineered bearings and power-transmission equipment globally, operating through Mobile Industries and Process Industries segments. Mobile Industries supplies bearings, seals, transmission components and flight-critical parts to OEMs and end-users across automotive, off-highway, rail and aerospace markets, primarily via distributor networks; Process Industries provides industrial bearings, gearboxes, linear-motion components and related aftermarket repair and service capabilities. Founded in 1899 and based in North Canton, Ohio, the company markets products under brands including Timken, Philadelphia Gear, Cone Drive and Lovejoy, among others.

Idea History

DateCloseTickerCompanySummaryStatusP/L
Feb 13Feb 20TKRThe Timken Company
Recent beat and initial 2026 outlook, solid cash flow and moderate leverage, plus strong technicals (+16.8% over 21 days, break above prior highs) position TKR as an industrial cyclical with both earnings and conference catalysts (Citi event 2/18) that can sustain short‑term momentum.
Closed+0.3%
Research content for educational purposes only. Not investment advice. All decisions are your responsibility.